Quick Answer: What Is Future Thinking?

Which are the steps of the futures thinking process?

Andy Hines and Peter Bishop in their book, Thinking about the Future, identify six critical steps to develop the foresight you need to navigate in this rapidly changing environment: Framing, Scanning, Forecasting, Visioning, Planning, and Acting..

How can we create a scenario?

To use Scenario Analysis, follow these five steps:Define the Issue. First, decide what you want to achieve, or define the decision that you need to make. … Gather Data. Next, identify the key factors, trends and uncertainties that may affect the plan. … Separate Certainties From Uncertainties. … Develop Scenarios.

What does lack of foresight mean?

Noun. Lack of good sense or judgement. foolishness. inanity. silliness.

Can we predict the future using scenarios?

Scenarios do not predict the future – they are tools to help us explore different ways the future might unfold, so that we may form a shared vision, develop strategies, and create high-impact policies to be implemented now.

What is the purpose of a scenario?

The goal in using scenarios is to reveal the dynamics of change and use these insights to reach sustainable solutions to the challenges at hand. Scenarios help stakeholders break through communication barriers and see how current and alternative development paths might affect the future.

How do you gain foresight?

5 Key Ways to Build ForesightGain knowledge. The more knowledge you have about a subject, the easier it’ll be to find common patterns and themes within that subject. … Build experience. … Think hypothetically. … Make small predictions. … Play devil’s advocate.

What does futurology mean?

based on current trends: a study that deals with future possibilities based on current trends.

Where can I study futurology?

programs globally in futurology (also known as strategic foresight or futures studies). In the U.S., Regent University, University of Houston and University of Hawaii are three institutions offering futurology master’s and PhD programs.

How do you build a scenario?

Scenario Planning ProcessStep 1: Brainstorm Future Scenarios. In the very first step you need to decide a time frame. … Step 2: Identify trends and driving forces. … Step 3: Create A Scenario Planning Template. … Step 4: Develop a Scenario. … Step 5: Evaluate a Scenario. … Step 6: Update Strategies and Policies Accordingly.

What is another word for foresight?

In this page you can discover 30 synonyms, antonyms, idiomatic expressions, and related words for foresight, like: prevision, preparedness, acumen, caution, anticipation, vision, prescience, foreknowledge, forethought, prudence and forehandedness.

Why is strategic foresight important?

About Strategic Foresight In times of increasingly rapid change, growing complexity, and critical uncertainty, responsible governance requires preparing for the unexpected. Strategic Foresight is required whenever there is a high degree of uncertainty surrounding changes to the relevant future context.

What techniques are used in the field of futures research for assessing the future?

Some of the anticipatory methods include, the delphi method, causal layered analysis, environmental scanning, morphological analysis, and scenario planning.

What is foresight analysis?

Foresight is a social and political process, informed by scientific understanding and analysis that enables organisations and societies to better respond to emerging risks and opportunities.

Who studies the future?

“Futurology” is defined as the “study of the future.” The term was coined by German professor Ossip K. Flechtheim in the mid-1940s, who proposed it as a new branch of knowledge that would include a new science of probability.